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Sudan's war escalates amid failed diplomatic initiatives and mass displacement towards Chad

The United States rejected a visa application from Sudanese army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, preventing him from addressing the UN General Assembly, reportedly over disagreements about a potential truce. Concurrently, fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces continues, whilst roughly 400 Sudanese refugees are fleeing daily into Chad, despite earlier reports that over five million displaced persons had returned home.

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Sudan's civil war, now in its fourth year, shows no signs of resolution as diplomatic and military developments unfold without progress. The United States denied a visa to Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, Sudan's de facto leader and army chief, preventing his scheduled address to the UN General Assembly. American officials indicated that the visa refusal was conditional on Burhan accepting a three-month ceasefire; however, Khartoum contends that such a pause would merely allow the rival Rapid Support Forces to reorganise and rearm. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres expressed deep concern about the decision.

Simultaneously, US senior adviser Massad Boulos reported conducting productive negotiations with Sudan's and Egypt's foreign ministers aimed at establishing a humanitarian truce and initiating inclusive civilian dialogue. Meanwhile, the Sudanese Armed Forces claimed to have recaptured Sodiri in North Kordofan from the Rapid Support Forces. However, the RSF continued its assault, killing civilians in a gold market attack and conducting drone strikes on cities, whilst the Sudanese army targeted RSF positions elsewhere.

The humanitarian crisis deepens despite some improvements. The International Organization for Migration reported that over five million displaced Sudanese have returned home, yet active conflict persists. Simultaneously, the UN refugee agency documented a sharp increase in refugee outflows, with approximately 400 Sudanese crossing into Chad daily. This surge in displacement occurs as international funding for humanitarian assistance diminishes.

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